What is the current probability for "Polymarket IPO by _?"?

Current Predict odds for "Polymarket IPO by _?": December 31, 2027 46%, June 30, 2027 24%, March 31, 2027 7% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2028.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from predict's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/predict/84470. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Predict

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event6 outcomes

Polymarket IPO by _?

·Finance·ends Jan 1, 2028

vol cum

$5M

vol 24h

$60k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2028

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

FinanceIPO

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2027

rank #1

46¢

▲ 17.2pp

24h change

vol cum

$706.6k

vol 24h

$19.9k

spread

0.23

ends

Jan 1, 2028

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date at 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Polymarket is acquired by another company, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline

opened · May 19, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028

December 31, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history