Tech

Today's biggest moves on AI, technology and science questions across the prediction markets.

▾Tech$239.2k

$204.7k▾Others(14 events)

$71.8k▾Tencent market share this week

$30.2kAbove 6.1%97¢▲ 83.0pp

$15.6kAbove 5.6%99¢▲ 18.0pp

see all (1 more)↓

$43.3k▾DeepSeek market share this week

$37kAbove 25.3%80¢▲ 65.0pp

$6.3kAbove 24.7%92¢▲ 23.0pp

$31k▾Google market share this week

$19.5kAbove 18.8%2¢▼ 47.0pp

$11.6kAbove 19.1%1¢▼ 16.0pp

$30.3k▾Anthropic market share this week

$13.3kAbove 2.75%6¢▼ 75.0pp

$17kAbove 2.85%7¢▼ 14.0pp

$11.8kHow many launches will SpaceX have in Sep 2026? — Above 872¢▲ 30.0pp

$8kOpenAI market share this week? — Above 18%1¢▼ 25.0pp

$3.2kWill the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?33¢▲ 19.5pp

$1.3kQwen market share this week? — Above 6.75%25¢▼ 38.0pp

$1.1kWill SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 29, 2026?51¢▲ 22.0pp

$924Most popular AI this week? — OpenAI5¢▼ 10.0pp

$798Best Chinese AI Company end of September? — Alibaba87¢▼ 1.2pp

$624How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? — Above 1275¢▲ 56.0pp

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$367▾Google Search(2 events)

$217Will Billie Eilish be the #2 searched person on Google this year?3¢▼ 1.4pp

$150Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?28¢▼ 2.5pp

$20k▾AI Releases(2 events)

$15.5kWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?71¢▼ 1.0pp

$4.4k▾Next Claude Opus released on...?

$520September 2233¢▲ 14.5pp

$3.9kSeptember 2126¢▼ 12.4pp

$11.5k▾AI Rankings(9 events)

$5.5kWill OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?90¢▲ 33.0pp

$2.8k▾Second-best AI Lab end of November?

$2.1kGoogle44¢▲ 9.0pp

$117Amazon1¢▼ 3.1pp

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$1.5kWill Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?31¢▲ 0.0pp

$549Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?21¢▲ 13.0pp

$397Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?11¢▼ 8.0pp

$334Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?79¢▲ 4.6pp

$201Will Xiaomi be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?5¢▼ 2.9pp

$129Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?25¢▲ 10.5pp

$104Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?0¢▼ 0.5pp

$2.7k▾AI Agent(3 events)

$1.8k▾Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

$113Alibaba5¢▲ 1.4pp

$404Google7¢▼ 24.4pp

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$567Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?15¢▼ 5.0pp

$256▾Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

$111Google7¢▲ 0.9pp

$145Meta2¢▼ 4.7pp