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event2 outcomes
MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?
vol cum
$37
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
2
ends
Apr 26, 2034
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Below 15%
rank #1
United States
80¢
vol cum
$6
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.10
ends
Apr 26, 2034
If the highest percentage increase in U.S. real GDP per capita over its previous peak for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 is below 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Aug 28, 2026opencloses · Apr 26, 2034
Below 15% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
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