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event2 outcomes

MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?

Kalshi·Economy·ends Apr 26, 2034

As of 16:53 UTC on 7 Oct 2026, “Below 15%” leads “MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?” on Kalshi at 80%, followed by “At least 15%” at 30%, out of 2 outcomes. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$121
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
2
ends
Apr 26, 2034
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Below 15%
rank #1
United States
80¢
vol cum
$6
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.10
ends
Apr 26, 2034

If the highest percentage increase in U.S. real GDP per capita over its previous peak for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 is below 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Aug 28, 2026opencloses · Apr 26, 2034
Below 15% · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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