p|datav0.1news250
opentrade on Kalshi ↗
marketsingle market

Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?

Kalshi·Science and Technology
77%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$27k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.05
ends
Jan 8, 2027
Yes 77¢
No 23¢

If an AI model using neuralese recurrence is first released to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jun 20, 2025opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Before 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Manifoldmanifold
Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?
yes5¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Polymarketpolymarket
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
yes2¢▲ 0.4pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score66¢▲ 1.0ppAt least 1550 score23¢▼ 2.0ppAt least 1540 score25¢· 0.0pp
+5 others
$1.6k 24h · 8 markets
Manifoldmanifold
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
yes22¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will open-source AI win? (through 2028)
yes32¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
yes10¢
M0 24h · 1 market