Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

Kalshi·Elections

United States

As of 04:16 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?” at 8% (-1pp in 24h). The market has $1.8k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?” on Manifold, priced at 14%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Opinion.

If the 22nd Amendment has been repealed by a subsequent Constitutional Amendment, or if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled in an opinion or judgment that the 22nd Amendment permits individuals to be elected to the Presidency at least thrice under at least some circumstances, before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.