pdatanews260
event34 outcomes

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 7, 2030

As of 18:50 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, “Anthropic” leads “Best LLM at the end of the decade?” on Kalshi at 20%, followed by “xAI” at 11% (+11pp in 24h) and “Essential AI” at 2% (-5pp in 24h), out of 34 outcomes. The event has $1.2k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
$1.2k
vol 24h
$1.2k
outcomes
34
ends
Jan 7, 2030
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 34
marketselected outcome
Anthropic
rank #1
20¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$48
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 7, 2030

If Anthropic has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 9, 2026opencloses · Jan 7, 2030
Anthropic · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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