pdatanews256
event5 outcomes

Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 7, 2030

As of 20:04 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, “United States” leads “Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?” on Kalshi at 66%, followed by “China” at 27% and “France” at 3%, out of 5 outcomes. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
$1.9k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
5
ends
Jan 7, 2030
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
United States
rank #1
United StatesChina
66¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$320
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.09
ends
Jan 7, 2030

If an AI lab based in the United States has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 9, 2026opencloses · Jan 7, 2030
United States · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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