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Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Kalshi·Science and Technology
China

As of 06:42 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?” at 3% (-3pp in 24h). The market has $485 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.

3%
▼ 3.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$140k
vol 24h
$485
spread
0.04
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 3¢
No 97¢

If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

timeline
opened · Jan 4, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Before 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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