pdatanews217
event13 outcomes

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 02:49 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 13 markets in “Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?” on Kalshi are “OpenAI” at 18% (+7pp in 24h), “xAI” at 9% (+1pp in 24h) and “Meta” at 7% (+2pp in 24h). The event has $1.3k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?” on Polymarket, an event with 15 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum
$463.4k
vol 24h
$1.3k
outcomes
13
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 13
marketselected outcome
OpenAI
rank #1
18¢
▲ 7.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$181.1k
vol 24h
$891
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 1, 2027

If OpenAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jan 1, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
OpenAI · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
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