opentrade on 
↗
↗event2 outcomes
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2028vol cum
$15.1k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 8, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
rank #1
Papua New Guinea
55¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$9.4k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.56
ends
Jan 8, 2028
If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Jan 27, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataWill Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]
yes24¢
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshiWill Wales announce an independence referendum?
yes15¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
polymarketWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
yes4¢
$0 24h · 1 market
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
yes3¢
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshiWill the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?
Before Dec 1, 202645¢▲ 45.0ppBefore Apr 1, 202755¢▲ 55.0ppBefore Jan 1, 202875¢▲ 75.0pp
+1 others
$2.7k 24h · 4 markets
polymarketKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
yes6¢
$0 24h · 1 market