pdatanews319
event7 outcomes

Who will announce a California departure in 2026?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2027

As of 03:42 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “Who will announce a California departure in 2026?” on Kalshi are “Peter Thiel” at 60%, “Larry Page” at 35% (-3pp in 24h) and “Mark Zuckerberg” at 13% (-23pp in 24h). The event has $3.8k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Gemini, Limitless, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$28.7k
vol 24h
$3.8k
outcomes
7
ends
Jan 8, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7
marketselected outcome
Peter Thiel
rank #1
United States
60¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$6.1k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 8, 2027

If Peter Thiel announces they're moving away from California before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Dec 29, 2025opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Peter Thiel · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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