Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
As of 08:23 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, “Xavier Becerra” leads “Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?” on Manifold at 97%, followed by “Steve Hilton” at 3% and “Other” at 0%, out of 15 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Predict, Gemini and Polymarket.
Gavin Newsom is term-limited. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_gubernatorial_election Resolves when the race is projected by a major news outlet or Dave Wasserman. Re-resolves in the rare event that an initial projection does not match official election results. General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
