opentrade on Kalshi ↗

event7 outcomes

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Dec 8, 2026

As of 22:15 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “When will Anthropic release Opus 6?” on Kalshi are “Before Dec 1, 2026” at 18%, “Before Nov 16, 2026” at 14% and “Before Sep 1, 2026” at 4%. The event has $21 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum

$59.6k

vol 24h

$21

outcomes

7

ends

Dec 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

Before Dec 1, 2026

rank #1

18¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$34

vol 24h

$0

spread

0.72

ends

Dec 8, 2026

If Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 1, 2026opencloses · Dec 8, 2026

Before Dec 1, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata

Kalshi

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

Before Sep 30, 202779¢Before Jun 30, 202770¢· 0.0ppBefore Mar 31, 202741¢· 0.0pp

$0 24h · 5 markets

Manifold

Who will join Anthropic by end of 2026?

Alec Radford14¢· 0.0ppNadia Asparouhova14¢· 0.0ppNan Ransohoff12¢· 0.0pp

M0 24h · 12 markets

Polymarket

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202672¢▲ 9.3ppOctober 20260¢▼ 0.4ppJanuary 202712¢▼ 3.1pp

$18.2k 24h · 17 markets

Kalshi

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 202710¢▲ 2.0ppBefore Dec 1, 20265¢· 0.0ppBefore Nov 1, 20263¢

$577 24h · 8 markets

Manifold

What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?

Does not ipo in 202613¢▼ 7.9ppDecember 202616¢▼ 1.0ppNovember 202671¢▲ 8.9pp

M741 24h · 8 markets

Polymarket

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

November 3064¢▼ 1.0ppDecember 3188¢▲ 8.0ppOctober 3112¢▲ 1.0pp

$329 24h · 3 markets