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event12 outcomes

Who will join Anthropic by end of 2026?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026

As of 19:23 UTC on 3 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 12 markets in “Who will join Anthropic by end of 2026?” on Manifold are “Alec Radford” at 15%, “Nadia Asparouhova” at 14% and “Nan Ransohoff” at 12%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum
M42.5k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
12
ends
Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 12

Suggest interesting options in the comments! (tentative) resolution criteria: Anthropic, Anthropic Institute, or orgs substantially owned by Anthropic count Anthropic Fellowship counts Acquisitions and acquihires count Credible announcements count, even if formal employment/acquisition doesn't start until 2027 or later

science-defaultacxagianthropicai
marketselected outcome
Alec Radford
rank #1
15¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M2.4k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · May 23, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
Alec Radford · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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