event12 outcomes
Who will join Anthropic by end of 2026?
Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026
As of 19:23 UTC on 3 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 12 markets in “Who will join Anthropic by end of 2026?” on Manifold are “Alec Radford” at 15%, “Nadia Asparouhova” at 14% and “Nan Ransohoff” at 12%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.
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Suggest interesting options in the comments! (tentative) resolution criteria: Anthropic, Anthropic Institute, or orgs substantially owned by Anthropic count Anthropic Fellowship counts Acquisitions and acquihires count Credible announcements count, even if formal employment/acquisition doesn't start until 2027 or later
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