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event12 outcomes
Who will join Anthropic by end of 2026?
vol cum
M39.9k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
12
ends
Dec 31, 2026
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Suggest interesting options in the comments! (tentative) resolution criteria: Anthropic, Anthropic Institute, or orgs substantially owned by Anthropic count Anthropic Fellowship counts Acquisitions and acquihires count Credible announcements count, even if formal employment/acquisition doesn't start until 2027 or later
science-defaultacxagianthropicai
marketselected outcome
Alec Radford
rank #1
17¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · May 23, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
Alec Radford · prices over time
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polymarketAnthropic acquired before 2027?
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Will Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
yes12¢
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kalshiWhat sector will Anthropic be assigned to?
Information Technology94¢· 0.0ppCommunication Services12¢Unassigned4¢· 0.0pp
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polymarketAnthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
$750B-$1.00T22¢▼ 16.5pp$2.25T+45¢▲ 4.5pp$2.00-$2.25T37¢▲ 1.5pp
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Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?
yes45¢· 0.0pp
M637 24h · 1 market
kalshiWhen will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Before Nov 1, 202612¢· 0.0ppBefore Oct 16, 20267¢▲ 2.0ppBefore Sep 16, 20266¢· 0.0pp
+2 others
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