Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
As of 22:23 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?” at 1% (-5pp in 24h). The market has $352 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?” on Polymarket, priced at 10%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
If the top rate of corporate federal tax is reduced below 21% before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will resolve to Yes even if the tax rate is only lowered for future years. Other provisions that may affect the amount of corporate tax paid by a given corporation, but are not the corporate income tax rate-- such as rules affecting what income counts as taxable or affecting deductions, credits, and other tax attributes relevant to corporations--do not affect the resolution of the Contract. Surtaxes imposed on (or removed from) taxable income or (adjusted) gross income are encompassed in the Payout Criterion. Increases in taxes imposed on (or removed from) specific kinds of corporate income that are not taxable income or (adjusted) gross income are not relevant for the Payout Criterion.
