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Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Polymarket·Politics
United States

As of 10:16 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?” at 9% (-3pp in 24h). The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict and Manifold.

9%
▼ 3.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.5k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.08
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 9¢
No 91¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe. Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

FiscalTrumpPoliticsTaxesEconomyRecurring
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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