marketsingle market
US defaults before 2028?
·EconomyUnited States
6%
▲ 6.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.3k
vol 24h
$2.3k
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 7, 2028
Yes 6¢
No 94¢
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Aug 19, 2026opencloses · Jan 7, 2028
