marketsingle market
US defaults before 2029?
United States
12%
▲ 12.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3.3k
vol 24h
$3.3k
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 7, 2029
Yes 12¢
No 88¢
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Aug 19, 2026opencloses · Jan 7, 2029