US defaults before 2030?

Kalshi·Economy

United States

As of 20:16 UTC on 23 Aug 2026, Kalshi prices “US defaults before 2030?” at 12%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold and Opinion.

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.