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How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

Kalshi·Politics·ends May 17, 2029

As of 04:37 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?” on Kalshi are “below 7.75” at 99%, “below 7.80” at 99% and “below 7.70” at 98%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$48.5k

vol 24h

$0

outcomes

7

ends

May 17, 2029

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

below 7.75

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

vol cum

$9k

vol 24h

$0

spread

0.01

ends

May 17, 2029

If the United States falls below 7.75 in any year between 2025 and 2028 on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Nov 13, 2024closedresolved · Apr 7, 2026

below 7.75 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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