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markets·Politics
opentrade on Manifold ↗
marketsingle market

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Manifold·Politics
United States
10%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M42.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 21, 2029
YES 10¢
NO 90¢

This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.' https://v-dem.net/ If Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned). Companion question: (https://manifold.markets/embed/Siebe/if-a-democrat-is-elected-president)

timeline
opened · Feb 23, 2024opencloses · Jan 21, 2029
prices over time · If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM) highlighted
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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