Question 1

What is the current probability for "Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?": New Hampshire 44%, South Carolina 28%, Nevada 15% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 11/7/2028.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?

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