What is the current probability for "Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?": South Carolina 96%, New Hampshire 5%, Michigan 0% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/7/2028.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.