Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
As of 18:41 UTC on 30 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 53 markets in “Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?” on Manifold are “J.B. Pritzker” at 66%, “Gavin Newsom” at 50% and “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez” at 42%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 17 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Gemini and Kalshi.
An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries. Otherwise the answer will resolve NO once all contests are over. The source of the official delegate count will be the Democratic National Committee (DNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the DNC's official statements. Nominating contests in places which are not states will not count for the purposes of this market (e.g. Washington D.C., American Samoa, etc.). If there is a caucus in a state instead of a primary, or if there is more than one nominating contest (e.g. if there is a primary and a caucus) then nothing changes - the important factor is who wins the most delegates in that state.
