marketsingle market
Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?
Manifold·Elections
United States
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?” at 62%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini.

62%
vol cum
M7.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 16, 2028
YES 62¢
NO 38¢
Resolves YES if the Democratic nominee is elected to the U.S. presidency in 2028. Comapre with @/PlasmaBallin/conditional-on-a-biden-being-electe, @/PlasmaBallin/will-a-republican-be-elected-presid, and @/PlasmaBallin/conditional-on-a-trump-being-electe.
timeline
opened · Jan 10, 2024opencloses · Nov 16, 2028