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event2 outcomes

Will France declare a state of emergency?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2027

As of 16:38 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Will France declare a state of emergency?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 1, 2027” at 36% (+36pp in 24h) and “Before Nov 1, 2026” at 15% (+15pp in 24h). The event has $4.8k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Limitless.

vol cum
$5.5k
vol 24h
$4.8k
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 8, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
rank #1
France
36¢
▲ 36.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3.3k
vol 24h
$2.7k
spread
0.07
ends
Jan 8, 2027

If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 18, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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