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Science and Technology
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event
3 outcomes
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
·
Science and Technology
·
ends Jan 8, 2040
W
vol cum
$43.6k
vol 24h
$20
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 8, 2040
outcomes
click to inspect →
B
Before 2040
53¢
· 0.0
pp
B
Before 2035
49¢
· 0.0
pp
B
Before 2030
32¢
· 0.0
pp
market
selected outcome
Before 2040
rank #1
B
53¢
· 0.0
pp
24h change
vol cum
$8.7k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 8, 2040
If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened
· Jun 4, 2025
open
closes
· Jan 8, 2040
prices over time · Before 2040 highlighted
24h
7d
30d
all
−24h
now
volume · by outcome
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no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
manifold
When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
Before 2035
42
¢
· 0.0
pp
2035 - 2045
23
¢
· 0.0
pp
2045 - 2060
23
¢
· 0.0
pp
+3 others
M0 24h · 6 markets
kalshi
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Antares Nuclear
92
¢
▼ 4.0
pp
Valar Atomics
67
¢
▼ 26.0
pp
Oklo
37
¢
▼ 3.0
pp
+7 others
$1.8k 24h · 10 markets
manifold
Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
yes
28
¢
· 0.0
pp
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshi
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
yes
17
¢
▼ 2.0
pp
$7.2k 24h · 1 market
manifold
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
yes
13
¢
· 0.0
pp
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshi
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
yes
56
¢
▲ 7.0
pp
$9 24h · 1 market
+6 more