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event7 outcomes

When will xAI release Grok 5?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 8, 2027

As of 16:14 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “When will xAI release Grok 5?” on Kalshi are “Before 2027” at 39% (-6pp in 24h), “Before December” at 8% (-7pp in 24h) and “Before July” at 5%. The event has $191 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Predict.

vol cum
$50k
vol 24h
$191
outcomes
7
ends
Jan 8, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7
marketselected outcome
Before 2027
rank #1
39¢
▼ 6.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$17.7k
vol 24h
$148
spread
0.07
ends
Jan 8, 2027

If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jan 1, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Before 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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