marketsingle market
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
United States
8%
▼ 1.4pp
24h change
vol cum
$368.7k
vol 24h
$2.7k
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 8¢
No 92¢
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included. The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.
timeline
opened · Jan 6, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027