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Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

Kalshi·Science and Technology
United States

As of 14:25 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?” at 30% (-5pp in 24h). The market has $8 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Manifold.

30%
▼ 5.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$16.7k
vol 24h
$8
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 8, 2050
Yes 30¢
No 70¢

If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jun 27, 2025opencloses · Jan 8, 2050
Before 2050 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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