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Will a human step foot on Mars by 2040?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 06:46 UTC on 3 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Will a human step foot on Mars by 2040?” at 34%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

34%
vol cum
M6.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2041
YES 34¢
NO 66¢

This market resolves yes if on or before Jan 1st, 2041, a human has set foot on the Martian surface.

timeline
opened · Mar 5, 2022opencloses · Jan 2, 2041
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2040? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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