marketsingle market
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Kalshi·Science and Technology
As of 00:10 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?” at 20%. The market has $33 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?” on Manifold, priced at 18%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.
20%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$97.1k
vol 24h
$33
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2030
Yes 20¢
No 80¢
If SpaceX lands anything successfully on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Dec 19, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2030