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Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 03:49 UTC on 6 Sep 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?” at 6%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

6%
vol cum
M10.1k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2031
YES 6¢
NO 94¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline
opened · Apr 10, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2031
Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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