marketsingle market
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
Kalshi·Business
As of 08:23 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?” at 17%. The market has $29 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?” on Manifold, priced at 17%. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Limitless and Kalshi.
17%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$54.7k
vol 24h
$29
spread
0.05
ends
Jan 1, 2030
Yes 17¢
No 83¢
If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Mar 22, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2030