Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?

Manifold·Science and Technology

United States

As of 07:33 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?” at 2%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

2%

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

M22.4k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2026

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1832550322293837833