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Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 17:44 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?” at 17%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?” on Kalshi, priced at 17%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

17%
vol cum
M108.6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 17¢
NO 83¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline
opened · Apr 22, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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