marketsingle market
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Kalshi·Science and Technology
As of 20:36 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?” at 28%. The market has $1 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.
28%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$28.5k
vol 24h
$1
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 8, 2050
Yes 28¢
No 72¢
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people residing on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Jun 27, 2025opencloses · Jan 8, 2050