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Will there be a martian colony by 2050?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 06:46 UTC on 3 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be a martian colony by 2050?” at 39%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Manifold.

39%
vol cum
M6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2049
YES 39¢
NO 61¢

This market will resolve yes if Mars is continuously inhabited by at least one human by 2050.

timeline
opened · Dec 23, 2022opencloses · Dec 31, 2049
Will there be a martian colony by 2050? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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