Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 16:43 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?” at 18%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?” on Kalshi, priced at 19%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Manifold.

From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/737/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-by-2030/ Closes Aug 1, 2024. Expected to resolve around Jan 1, 2030. Close date updated to 2029-12-31 11:59 pm