What is the current probability for "Top Open Source AI this week"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Top Open Source AI this week": Alibaba 1%, Cohere 1%, DeepSeek 1% (top 3 of 13 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 25, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXOPENINTAI-26SEP25. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event13 outcomes

Top Open Source AI this week

·Science and Technology·ends Sep 25, 2026

vol cum

$11.4k

vol 24h

$11.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 25, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 13

marketselected outcome

Alibaba

rank #1

1¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1k

vol 24h

$1k

spread

0.97

ends

Sep 25, 2026

If Alibaba is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 18, 2026opencloses · Sep 25, 2026

Alibaba · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history