When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
As of 17:10 UTC on 8 Oct 2026, “Not before 2027” leads “When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?” on Manifold at 92%, followed by “2026” at 7% and “2025” at 1%, out of 4 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.
People seem pessimistic about it happening in 2024, so I've opened a new market with more options to better gauge expectations. (previous market: https://manifold.markets/gpt4/will-openai-announce-ai-robots-in-2) Resolution criteria is the same (I'll consider the market resolved as "yes" when OpenAI releases a demo of a physical robot utilizing their technology, akin to their previous unveilings of ChatGPT, DALL-E, and SORA.)
