event4 outcomes

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 11:23 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2026” at 25% (+1pp in 24h), “October 31, 2026” at 3% (-1pp in 24h) and “December 31, 2025” at 0%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum

$485.4k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.

TechOpenAIBig Techsam altmanAIGPT-5

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2026

rank #1

25¢

▲ 0.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$85.2k

vol 24h

spread

0.09

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

timeline

opened · Nov 12, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

December 31, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history