event6 outcomes

When will P vs NP be resolved?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 7, 2040

As of 05:47 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 6 markets in “When will P vs NP be resolved?” on Kalshi are “Before 2040” at 49%, “Before 2035” at 38% and “Before 2030” at 29%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$4.8k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 7, 2040

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

Before 2040

rank #1

49¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$100

vol 24h

spread

0.04

ends

Jan 7, 2040

If P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2040 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 12, 2026opencloses · Jan 7, 2040

Before 2040 · prices over time

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now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history