P != NP (will it be proven by April 2027)

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “P != NP (will it be proven by April 2027)” at 7%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Manifold.

Will this be proven to the satisfaction of most mathematicians and computer scientists in 5 years? Apr 7, 12:55pm: Companion market here (for P = NP) https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/p-np Mar 14, 4:41pm: P != NP → P != NP (will it be proven by April 2027)