event3 outcomes

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 27, 2029

As of 02:43 UTC on 11 Nov 2026, “Pete Hegseth” leads “Who will leave Trump's Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?” on Kalshi at 66% (-13pp in 24h), followed by “Marco Rubio” at 26% (+26pp in 24h) and “None” at 0%, out of 3 outcomes. The event has $2.9k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Gemini.

vol cum

$2.9k

vol 24h

$2.9k

outcomes

ends

Jan 27, 2029

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Pete Hegseth

rank #1

United States

66¢

▼ 13.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$491

vol 24h

$491

spread

0.05

ends

Jan 27, 2029

If Pete Hegseth is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of Defense after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Nov 9, 2026opencloses · Jan 27, 2029

Pete Hegseth · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history