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How many launches will SpaceX have in July? · Above 10 99% — Kalshi odds
markets
·
Science and Technology
·
Part of: AI Model Odds →
open
trade on
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event
8 outcomes
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
·
Science and Technology
·
ends Aug 7, 2026
H
vol cum
$15.3k
vol 24h
$14.7k
outcomes
8
ends
Aug 7, 2026
outcomes
click to inspect →
A
Above 10
99¢
▲ 99.0
pp
A
Above 11
90¢
▲ 90.0
pp
A
Above 12
84¢
▲ 4.0
pp
A
Above 13
59¢
▲ 4.0
pp
A
Above 14
17¢
▼ 9.0
pp
showing 5 of 8
see 3 more ↓
market
selected outcome
Above 10
rank #1
A
99¢
▲ 99.0
pp
24h change
vol cum
$232
vol 24h
$232
spread
0.01
ends
Aug 7, 2026
If SpaceX has more than 10 launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened
· Jul 2, 2026
open
closes
· Aug 7, 2026
Above 10 · prices over time
24h
7d
30d
all
−24h
now
volume · by outcome
hover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
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kalshi
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 160
28
¢
· 0.0
pp
Above 210
6
¢
▼ 1.0
pp
Above 120
96
¢
▼ 1.0
pp
+5 others
$1.5k 24h · 8 markets
polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
180-199
5
¢
· 0.0
pp
140-159
57
¢
· 0.0
pp
160-179
31
¢
▲ 6.0
pp
+4 others
$14 24h · 7 markets
manifold
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
yes
6
¢
· 0.0
pp
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshi
How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?
Above 16
21
¢
· 0.0
pp
Above 15
42
¢
· 0.0
pp
Above 14
65
¢
▼ 3.0
pp
+5 others
$806 24h · 8 markets
polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5-6
37
¢
▼ 0.5
pp
<5
42
¢
▲ 1.5
pp
9-10
3
¢
· 0.0
pp
+5 others
$175 24h · 8 markets
manifold
Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
yes
48
¢
· 0.0
pp
M0 24h · 1 market
+6 more