What is the current probability for "Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?"?

"Yes" is currently 93% (-3pp in the last 24h) on Kalshi, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPATTEND. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?

·Politics

United States

93%

▼ 3.1pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.4M

vol 24h

$441.7k

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 20, 2026

Yes 93¢

No 7¢

If Donald J. Trump attends The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.

Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) or the World Cup. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

timeline

opened · Jan 9, 2026opencloses · Jul 20, 2026

similar markets