event13 outcomes

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Mar 15, 2027

As of 17:03 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 13 markets in “How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?” on Kalshi are “At least 19” at 93%, “At least 22” at 93% and “At least 10” at 91%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion and Myriad.

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$5.2k

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Mar 15, 2027

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At least 19

rank #1

United States

93¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

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$812

vol 24h

spread

0.08

ends

Mar 15, 2027

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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opened · Aug 20, 2026opencloses · Mar 15, 2027

At least 19 · prices over time

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