Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
As of 02:22 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?” at 69% (-1pp in 24h). The market has $41 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi and Gemini.
If PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
