Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?
·PoliticsIf the US agrees to or announces withdrawal from the Outer Space Treaty after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Announcements with specified future implementation dates qualify. Effective withdrawal need not occur before the deadline. An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
