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Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

50%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M11.3k
vol 24h
M4
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES 50¢
NO 50¢
https://arcprize.org/leaderboard Achieve a performance of 85% or higher on the private set of Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC), a challenging benchmark designed to test an AI's ability to solve abstract reasoning tasks with minimal prior knowledge. Even if the requirements for the grand prize change in 2025, this benchmark of >=85% performance will remain unchanged. Learn more about the competition here: https://arcprize.org/competition. 2025 version https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai-srb6t2awj1 2024 version https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai
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opened · Aug 16, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026